N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.2%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Polymarket Trader
BenCampbell
0xb47024f84a20241972ee086d0cc74295780139ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.82
- Realized PnL
- $43.01
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.8%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $11.52
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- Multiplier
- 4.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 25.5% 3.92 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 26.3% 7.6 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 58% 17.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 90% 7.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 65% 7.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 58% 13.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 49% 9.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 24% 3.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 15% 6.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 65% 7.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 61% 7.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 72% 1.36 shares