N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $27.78
- Potential payout
- $55.56K
- Potential profit
- $55.53K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$83.33
Polymarket Trader
vad1
0xb476d52d74d0ecd55fb80f9bc96e93a267ad6eac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.25K
- Realized PnL
- $29.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.48K
- Potential profit
- $15.48K
- User PnL
- -$511.21
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$250
Under position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.87K
- Potential profit
- $8.87K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $152.4
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.77K
Over position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.35K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.12K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$330.58
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- User PnL
- -$150
Under position
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- User PnL
- -$2.73K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$661.99
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $152.95
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$31.15
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $47
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $465.15
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $449.85
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $526.5
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $773.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$88.49
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$626.99
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $260.19
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $95.19
Yes position
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92K
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
Over position
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Over position
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Over position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.82
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.43
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.08
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $320
Over position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.33
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.84
Yes position
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 75.2% 504.64 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 97% 515.46 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 93% 430.11 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 88% 568.18 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 89% 561.8 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 46.4% 430.69 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 45% 222.22 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 62% 1,612.9 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 63% 476.19 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 63% 634.92 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Over 65% 153.85 shares