Y
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $130.04
- Potential payout
- $198.53
- Potential profit
- $68.49
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Polymarket Trader
Jumbajuz
0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $786.29
- Realized PnL
- $78.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $114.74
- Potential payout
- $183.58
- Potential profit
- $68.84
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$20.26
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $141.67
- Potential payout
- $162.84
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $55.65
- Potential payout
- $89.04
- Potential profit
- $33.39
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $14.56
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $73.68
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $56.74
- Potential payout
- $66.75
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $46.58
- Potential payout
- $63.38
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $33.76
- Potential payout
- $38.81
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $20.89
- Potential payout
- $26.95
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $21.38
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $24.67
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $24.59
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $23.44
- Potential profit
- $7.38
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $22.06
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $21.13
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $15.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.33
- Potential payout
- $19.53
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.48
- Potential profit
- $19.48
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $12.87
- Potential payout
- $18.79
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $17.05
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $16.85
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $12.36
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $12.13
- Potential payout
- $12.84
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $8.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $365?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $2.94
T1 position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
KT Rolster position
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 74% 189.7 shares
- Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 40.41 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 68% 22.06 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 17% 88.24 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 83% 162.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No 85.2% 59.66 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 16.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71% 174.86 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 14.85 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No 68% 49.04 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 64% 23.44 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 81.1% 38.33 shares