Polymarket Trader

PMMMR

0xb47e0ebd655e6b0190a26b2814a9a2282dc0c602

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.66K
Realized PnL: $41.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $165.01
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.84K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$289.7

Yes position

Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $77.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$354.92

Yes position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $67.51
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$327.35

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $490
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $64.78
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$313.93

No position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $385.01
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $615.02
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$13.72

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $875
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$133.69

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$469.59

No position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $395
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $605
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$145

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $137.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $862.49
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $389.95
Potential payout: $999.88
Potential profit: $609.93
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $74.99
Potential payout: $999.84
Potential profit: $924.85
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$314.99

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $999.52
Potential profit: $809.61
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $356
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $444
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $269.99
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $479.99
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $301.07
Potential payout: $700.15
Potential profit: $399.09
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$107.93

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $332.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $367.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$52.5

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $482.92
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $217.07
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $90.93

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $312
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $338
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$78

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $416.94
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $183.06
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $241.67
Potential payout: $589.45
Potential profit: $347.78
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $19.81

No position

Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $97.57
Potential payout: $500.36
Potential profit: $402.79
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$139.16

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $211.38
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $263.63
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $21.38

Yes position

Will Pervis Estupiñán score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $72
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $378
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$28.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 4?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65K

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

Yes position

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt say Bitcoin/Crypto/Cryptocurrency

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Scorigami in NFL Playoffs?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Predators position

Predators vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Scorigami in NFL Week 11?

Ends Nov 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23K

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will the Timberwolves beat the Lakers 4-1?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

US bank failure before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Trail Blazers position

Rockets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Scorigami in NFL Week 4?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 29 - October 5)

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $996

Yes position

Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Over 41% 100 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 53% 100 shares
SC Recife vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 2.5

Under 56.9% 180 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Over 55% 200 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

No 46% 200 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Over 44% 250 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

DR Congo 49% 200 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Jordan 53% 200 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Algeria 57% 200 shares
Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 2.5

Over 46% 100 shares
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 61.8% 100 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Over 39% 100 shares