No position
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $196.15
- Potential payout
- $329.67
- Potential profit
- $133.52
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$18.85
Polymarket Trader
0xb4849341371E906e7549Deff18aaeE2dEDAc18EB-1773977885730
0xb4849341371e906e7549deff18aaee2dedac18eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $330.45
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $123.7
- Potential payout
- $233.4
- Potential profit
- $109.7
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$76.3
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.7
- Potential profit
- $134.7
- User PnL
- -$43.67
Yes position
Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $17.44
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No 56.6% 176.73 shares
- Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 85.7% 233.4 shares
- Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes 49% 2.04 shares
- Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No 75.2% 152.94 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 30% 80.37 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 36% 54.33 shares