Polymarket Trader

mahler886

0xb48810b1f89ac75bd44d00146195218d520add85

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $169.97
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $100.79
Potential profit: $97.16
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $95.86
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.85
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.4
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.4
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.3
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.75
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.9
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $11.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.15
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $21.29
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $77.72
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $17.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $98.33
Potential profit: $96.86
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.22
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $87.79
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $92.57
Potential profit: $80.26
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: $3.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 17?

Yes 9.4% 92.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 16?

Yes 6.9% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 17?

Yes 8.3% 42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 17?

Yes 6.5% 58.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 17?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 17?

Yes 6.6% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 17?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 17?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 17?

Yes 9.3% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 17?

Yes 4.6% 100 shares