Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Polymarket Trader
mrkinetiq
0xb48b1a8f796ba414672f8974dbfedca5c6c504eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.15K
- Realized PnL
- $26.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.23K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $775.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $834.32
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $553.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $70.5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $385.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $352.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $94.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $409.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$73.5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $220.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$85.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $178.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$52.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$398.39
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $29.59
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $594.87
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.51K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $22.76
- User PnL
- $258.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $250
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $779.21
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $197.7
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $76.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $326.76
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $428.92
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $133.78
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $718.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $531.25
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $84.75
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $878.71
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $333.3
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $184.43
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $56.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $85.41
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $54.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$7.22
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $865
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Under position
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980
No position
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.5
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.76
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.2
Heroic position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744
Yes position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.08
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.61
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.74
No position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.99
Yes position
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $670
No position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662
No position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 68.8% 248.3 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 71% 600 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 53% 34.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 91% 234.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 53% 349.08 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 75.6% 80 shares
- World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?No 75% 10.58 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 87% 147.05 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 15.7% 961.2 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No 13.1% 441 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 727.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 74% 3,048.3 shares