Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.6K
- Potential profit
- $81.6K
- User PnL
- -$16.69K
Polymarket Trader
100x
@100xpoly
0xb48ef6deecd526c0974c35e1f7b5c3bbd12fa144
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $157.67K
- Realized PnL
- $302.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 39
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.82K
- Potential profit
- $71.82K
- User PnL
- -$29.82K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $25.74K
- Potential payout
- $69.28K
- Potential profit
- $43.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
No position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $60K
- User PnL
- -$8.85K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.22K
- Potential profit
- $52.22K
- User PnL
- -$23.53K
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $24.92K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.58K
- Potential profit
- $23.58K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.22K
- Potential payout
- $20.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $17.17K
- Potential payout
- $18.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $14.7K
- Potential payout
- $15.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $483.28
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $14.95K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- User PnL
- $172.5
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.49K
- Potential profit
- $13.49K
- User PnL
- -$688.06
Yes position
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $12.52K
- User PnL
- -$338.06
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.41K
- Potential payout
- $11.45K
- Potential profit
- $40.09
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.26K
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $750.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
OpenAI IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $750
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.37K
- User PnL
- -$589.86
Yes position
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$240.17
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- User PnL
- -$5.04K
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $240.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $92.62
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $498.17
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$578.12
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- User PnL
- -$670.2
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$136.32
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $15.04
- User PnL
- $51.14
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $345.37
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $594.03
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$71.41
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $194.57
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$599.1
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$93.18
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.32
- Potential profit
- $688.32
- User PnL
- -$10.32
No position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $536.04
- Potential payout
- $539.55
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- User PnL
- $50.45
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $115.44
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.24
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $26.12
- Potential payout
- $26.42
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $46.96K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.91K
Yes position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.95K
No position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48K
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58K
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.98K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59K
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98K
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26K
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.31
No position
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.26
No position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.01
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.43
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
No position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.38
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.13
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.22
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.47
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $553.62
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $499.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 275,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 100,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 38.8% 11,968.8 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 33.9% 296.09 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 35.1% 1,824.41 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 12.5% 2,110.81 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 30% 2,000 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 90% 20,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 67% 500 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 76.8% 138.03 shares
- Chirayu Rana sued?No 7% 5 shares
- Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?No 87% 1,508.27 shares