Polymarket Trader

orim23

0xb497d98f746d47b945345242b5d525e94f65fa28

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.12
Realized PnL: $20
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $790.91
Potential profit: $790.91
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.75
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $50.68
Potential payout: $316.77
Potential profit: $266.09
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $10.68

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.88
Potential profit: $286.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $188.75
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $39.28
Potential payout: $115.53
Potential profit: $76.25
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $4.16

Over position

Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.11
Potential profit: $109.11
User PnL: -$9.82

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.97
Potential profit: $81.97
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $34.17
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $36.5
Potential profit: $32.39
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $23.73
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.1
Potential profit: $28.1
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $19.23
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.88
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5

Over 9% 109.11 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 312.5 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 11.2% 45.45 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 28.1 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 20% 700 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 188.68 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 67% 149.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 173.9 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares