Yes position
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $6.03
- Potential payout
- $10.22
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Polymarket Trader
0xb4a0...0be4
0xb4a0a64fc08e7dee2b1bb4abb78f6b2ed0400be4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.03
- Realized PnL
- $205.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Up position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Down position
BNB Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Usyk position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Solana Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 1% 17.54 shares