Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $11.76K
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$684.32
Polymarket Trader
billsoon
0xb4d2b5c75b176f364beefe9dffb605c8b161fa62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.77K
- Realized PnL
- $9.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$125.6
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $862.45
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$637.97
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $975.5
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $61.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $938.5
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $33.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $966.49
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$44.98
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.06
- Potential profit
- $498.06
- User PnL
- -$265
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 17?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.39
- Potential profit
- $200.39
- User PnL
- -$46.51
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Current value
- $30.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $69.3
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 18?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$5.06
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.78
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.07
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $499.07
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.49
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.94
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.02
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.8
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.25
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.93
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $122.85
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.63
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.65
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.48
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.87
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.26
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.43
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No 21% 10 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 32.5% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 98.7% 400 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 98.9% 600 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 43% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 7,849.87 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 20 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?No 19% 26.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 8.7% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.2% 60 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 13,000 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 99.4% 700 shares