No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $845
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $155
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
ethel2-16
0xb4d9594208c9ba840212c3da6f61350bbdef96da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $845
- Realized PnL
- $510.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.41
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $180.62
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $20.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 49% 4.87 shares