Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
MicaelV
0xb4e40b9f6fea9e332583c8bb9cb8c84dff6a9ced
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.25
- Realized PnL
- $728.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $616.01
- Potential profit
- $616.01
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $458.53
- Potential profit
- $458.53
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $411.64
- Potential profit
- $411.64
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.14
- Potential profit
- $271.14
- User PnL
- -$125.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "XRP" this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.77
- Potential profit
- $201.77
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.69
- Potential profit
- $147.69
- User PnL
- -$32.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $118.88
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $108.7
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.76
- Potential profit
- $99.76
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.92
- Potential profit
- $91.92
- User PnL
- -$11.95
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.24
- Potential profit
- $91.24
- User PnL
- -$29.17
No position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.07
- Potential profit
- $70.07
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.86
- Potential profit
- $69.86
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.87
- Potential profit
- $68.87
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.87
- Potential profit
- $68.87
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $65.26
- Potential profit
- $63.14
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.91
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.69
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.61
No position
Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during Fed chair announcement?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.77
No position
Will Leavitt say "Putin" during the next press briefing?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.09
No position
Will Trump say "Secretary of War" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.37
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
N
No position
Will Trump say "Daddy" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.39
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.46
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Ryanair say "Starlink" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
Yes position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will Trump meet with Kevin Hassett in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.94
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will "Bitcoin" be said at the Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Nikki" or "Rapper" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will Trump say "Insane asylum" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?Yes 7.2% 69.86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?Yes 14.3% 70.07 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 12.1% 411.64 shares
- Will Trump say "Xi" this week?No 18.7% 37.52 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 4.6% 108.7 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,333.33 shares
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 46.2% 271.14 shares
- Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes 30% 66.67 shares