Polymarket Trader

xaeroqkAtProtonMe

0xb4e9c0420c037c40437b601a32b1664714faf380

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $50.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.83K
Potential profit: $16.83K
User PnL: -$403.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.14K
Potential profit: $13.14K
User PnL: -$348.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.08K
Potential profit: $10.08K
User PnL: -$276.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.31K
Potential profit: $7.31K
User PnL: -$949.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74K
Potential profit: $5.74K
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.61K
Potential profit: $3.61K
User PnL: -$491.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$709.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$798.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$776.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$88.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $840
User PnL: -$114.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $815.26
Potential profit: $815.26
User PnL: -$455.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.52
Potential profit: $367.52
User PnL: -$226.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.13
Potential profit: $114.13
User PnL: -$82.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.17
Potential profit: $52.17
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.28
Potential profit: $41.28
User PnL: -$3.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $996.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $981.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 6% 727.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 13.3% 2,766.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 13.6% 840 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 17.4% 727.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 10.3% 1,503.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 16% 2,370.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 19.3% 25.91 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 4,007.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 34.7% 14.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 34% 1,463.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 74.3% 2,370.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 25.2% 688.34 shares