Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $22.61
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $3.71
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Polymarket Trader
Cinderfalll
0xb4f1d27a8faa96f9918b29bdfa1c93066b1228ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.61
- Realized PnL
- $10.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.08
- Potential profit
- $21.08
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.64
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Raptors position
Pacers vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 26.32 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.3% 15.11 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 82.4% 12.14 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 22% 13.64 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 95% 30.53 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 98.6% 28.6 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 97.9% 28.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.7% 30.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 30.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 99.9% 27.6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.8% 27.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.1% 29.67 shares