Polymarket Trader

0xB4F78a04C15478418d589e19C17870977b1589D6-1774185493145

0xb4f78a04c15478418d589e19c17870977b1589d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.2K
Realized PnL: -$22.43
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $664.96
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $96.24

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $303.17
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $84.66

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $43.13
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $706.88
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $10.13

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $64.59
Potential payout: $679.93
Potential profit: $615.34
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$52.1

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $65.33
Potential payout: $544.44
Potential profit: $479.11
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $16.33

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $38.14
Potential payout: $462.28
Potential profit: $424.14
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $269.81
Potential profit: $254.97
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$25.16

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $112.52
Potential profit: $106.28
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.53

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 280 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 265.96 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 555.56 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 76.19 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.4% 750 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 544.44 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 85.84 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 10.2% 147.77 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 300 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 49.02 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 104.17 shares