Polymarket Trader

9834

0xb4f9f239fe07695a0dd61cc86dfc664ec8fcd0e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $233.38
Realized PnL: $48.5
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $176.18
Potential payout: $383
Potential profit: $206.82
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $94.56

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $11.81
Potential payout: $57.2
Potential profit: $45.39
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$16.79

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $45.39
Potential payout: $57.2
Potential profit: $11.81
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $29.88

Yes position

Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 150 shares
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 7% 731.79 shares