Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13.01K
- User PnL
- -$26.01
Polymarket Trader
nicolasi
@kipling_ralap
0xb4fc42ee4807f9c88d8f4e85e51748dc5182d082
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.25
- Realized PnL
- $441.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $102.63
- Potential profit
- $67.23
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $102
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $12.17
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.87
76ers position
76ers vs. Clippers
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Pacers position
Hawks vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
76ers position
76ers vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
MOUZ NXT position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 95% 14 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No 99.7% 14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.9% 54 shares
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.9% 25 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?No 99.9% 1,422.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99.8% 12.6 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?No 97.3% 14 shares
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.3% 755 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.8% 765 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 99% 11.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No 99.9% 25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No 99.9% 26.25 shares