Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Welz
0xb5076299f67bad7f94a4313c49476cb10b65d954
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.37
- Realized PnL
- $229.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.74
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $24.74
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.91
- Potential profit
- $28.91
- User PnL
- -$9.89
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.06
- Potential profit
- $19.06
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.55
- Potential profit
- $15.55
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Trump post "Poll" or "Polling" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $8.94
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.65
- Potential profit
- $9.65
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.67
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- User PnL
- -$4.91
No position
Will Trump say "Lunatic" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.53
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- User PnL
- -$4.92
No position
Will Trump say "My Father" or "My Mother" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.48
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
Will Trump post "Trump Derangement Syndrome" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?No 31.2% 9.62 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No 18% 16.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?No 19.3% 15.55 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?No 15.7% 19.06 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?No 10% 30 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No 10% 30 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 83.33 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes 28% 3.57 shares