Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $58.33K
- Potential payout
- $58.41K
- Potential profit
- $87.62
- User PnL
- $36.35K
Polymarket Trader
cambridgeisaac
0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.4K
- Realized PnL
- $59.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $8.36K
- Potential payout
- $17.99K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.67K
- Potential profit
- $12.67K
- User PnL
- -$3.18K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $777.29
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $291.07
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $5.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Yes position
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- User PnL
- -$15.45
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$198
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$700.45
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- User PnL
- -$379.54
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $17.06
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$146.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $473.77
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $541.73
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $29.74
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $17.71
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$932.28
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$224.82
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$354
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $244.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $310.82
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$527.64
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.9%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $553.57
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $47.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$150.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 60% 1,745.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 81.9% 122.1 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 82% 1,341.46 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 44% 909.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 53.5% 1,238.41 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 82% 1,219.51 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 41% 731.71 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 40% 205 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73.3% 136.43 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73.3% 136.51 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 60% 1,666.67 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 81% 1,097.96 shares