Polymarket Trader

ykc88

0xb51beaac3dcdf59511bafbba9c5589ef08163f8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.46
Realized PnL: $95.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.44
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.6
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35.45
Potential profit: $35.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $22.8
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.09
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.95
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $28.43
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.6
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $73.19

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 14?

Yes 99.9% 26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Down 5% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 15?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?

Yes 39% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?

Yes 5.4% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Yes 30% 40 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 16?

Yes 15% 30 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 16?

Yes 9% 29.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Yes 14% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 15?

Yes 9% 20 shares