Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $211.97
- Potential payout
- $318.75
- Potential profit
- $106.78
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$13.03
Polymarket Trader
hwqMichael
0xb51f37c7d7e569031e26b04bdeb66c3315365f82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $254.21
- Realized PnL
- $49.78
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $42.24
- Potential payout
- $108.44
- Potential profit
- $66.2
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.67
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.16
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $7.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.76x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.08
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.22
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.95
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.1% 97.74 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.2% 100 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.1% 26.25 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes 17% 17.65 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes 29.5% 30.51 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 34% 23.53 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 326.53 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 21% 18.57 shares
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 28% 39.29 shares
- Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Yes 32% 25 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36.5% 82.19 shares