Polymarket Trader

gropaul

0xb5216b244f9e02854f72e7bb51749c56e5d2217f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $554.6
Realized PnL: $480.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $11.37
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $322.5

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $82.1
Potential payout: $107.32
Potential profit: $25.22
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $17.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$20

Warriors position

Hawks vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

76ers position

Hawks vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.85
User PnL: -$15

Celtics position

Nuggets vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$20

Hornets position

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Cavaliers position

Jazz vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $24.1
User PnL: -$20

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$8

Knicks position

Pistons vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Lakers position

Hornets vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Hornets position

Pacers vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$10

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.81
Potential profit: $14.81
User PnL: -$4

Heat position

Celtics vs. Heat

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.39

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Raptors position

76ers vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Kings position

Knicks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Mavericks position

Nets vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.24

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.97

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Kings

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Lakers position

Hawks vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.77

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.43

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

No 60.6% 107.32 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 89% 337.08 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 106.38 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

No 31% 483.87 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 94% 272.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 88% 272.73 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 85.3% 284.08 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 81.8% 557.03 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 85% 218.32 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 83% 240.96 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 18% 10.14 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 57% 21.73 shares