Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $554.28
- Potential payout
- $100.78K
- Potential profit
- $100.22K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$137.56
Polymarket Trader
Montecarlaw
0xb524ffe87088b380b33059fa716fbdaf0f2c0808
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.79K
- Realized PnL
- $8.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $79.8K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$195.92
Yes position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $569.13
- Potential payout
- $75.88K
- Potential profit
- $75.32K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $44.89K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$157.5
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $181.5
- Potential payout
- $40.33K
- Potential profit
- $40.15K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$113.46
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $30.67K
- Potential profit
- $30.62K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$257.97
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.9K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $255
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.75K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$46.89
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $241.5
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $20.76K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$176.97
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.69K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$42.8
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $13.83K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.34K
- Potential payout
- $13.1K
- Potential profit
- $9.76K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $311.21
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $11.97K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $10.28K
- Potential profit
- $9.1K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $282.95
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $112.65
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $64.43
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $177
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.82K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $89.17
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $15.57
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $61.54
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $554
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $86.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $817.89
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $777.54
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $535.03
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.41
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.78
Yes position
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.18
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.74
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- $293.08
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.41
No position
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.1
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189.19
No position
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.38
Yes position
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.5
Yes position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.05
Yes position
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.98
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $140.49
No position
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.85
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $135.26
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.65
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.17
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $116.46
Y
Yes position
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.45
No position
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 60 shares
- Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 40% 31.25 shares
- Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.9% 505.12 shares
- Will Scotland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 101 shares
- Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 111 shares
- Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 51 shares
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 73.9% 94.09 shares
- World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoMessi 93% 8.9 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.3% 6,047.19 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 12,000 shares