bravo94

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $36.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $49.11
Potential payout: $354.61
Potential profit: $305.5
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $49.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $55.3
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $224.7
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $55.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $43.67
Potential profit: $43.49
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $32.61
Potential profit: $27.88
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$10.27

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $20.58
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $23.28
Potential profit: $22.59
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $16.91
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $13.02
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 36.9%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $13.66
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 2.71x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.46
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $12.31
Potential profit: $11.94
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.92
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $7.86
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $2.76
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $2.72
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Aryna Sabalenka position

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.53

Pol Martin Tiffon position

Aix en Provence: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Kimmer Coppejans

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.54

Anastasia Potapova position

Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.18

Karim Bennani position

Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.82

Jakub Mensik position

Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.8

Hailey Baptiste position

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.5

Elena Rybakina position

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

Coco Gauff position

Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.38

Zomblers position

Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.9

Anna Blinkova position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancaccio

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.78

Daniel Galan position

Savannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galan

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Taylor Townsend position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

Tristan Schoolkate position

Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.22

Zeynep Sonmez position

Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsa

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

100 Thieves position

Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Ethan Quinn position

Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Ethan Quinn

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.46

Cameron Norrie position

Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.66

Tyler Zink position

Tallahassee: Saba Purtseladze vs Tyler Zink

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.01

Karen Khachanov position

Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik