Polymarket Trader

xiaojiucaikk

0xb54189ceefed3fc912c38a2ca264a6a3e44cfe69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $557.74
Realized PnL: $2.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

FENNEL position

LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $11.02
Potential payout: $565
Potential profit: $553.98
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $101.9
Potential payout: $236.99
Potential profit: $135.08
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$48.1

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $203.57
Potential payout: $224.94
Potential profit: $21.37
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.53
Potential profit: $174.53
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $33.58
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $136.43
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $141.3
Potential profit: $131.9
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$5.3

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.53
Potential profit: $137.53
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $129.03
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$17.23

Ultra Prime position

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $97.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.17
Potential profit: $94.17
User PnL: -$12

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$10

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.6
Potential profit: $40.6
User PnL: -$10

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Nongshim Red Force position

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.89

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.44

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.2

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.88

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 50% 100 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 73% 136.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Sashi Esport 77.3% 64.69 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 17.6% 56.82 shares
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner

FENNEL 1.5% 666.67 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 8.3% 30 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 33% 30 shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bilibili Gaming 84% 35.71 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 33.2% 477.63 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner

JD Gaming 70% 14.29 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner

JD Gaming 74% 13.51 shares