Polymarket Trader

Salonka

0xb54644284e9f9edd20799083618f24fa1a3333e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $684.64
Realized PnL: $4.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $69
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.93K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $69.6
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.73K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$23.3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $80.33
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$19.64

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $33.92
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$16.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $101.52
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$42.41

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $35.77
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $225.33
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$23.31

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.6
Potential profit: $476.6
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.89
Potential profit: $188.89
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.99
Potential profit: $41.99
User PnL: -$22.25

Yes position

War Powers resolution passes the Senate?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $20.04
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.2

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.8

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.4

No position

Will Trump say "Phase" or "Term" during Board of Peace events on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $9.79

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$2.8

Up position

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.2

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $722.8

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.5

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.26

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 26?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fulton County" in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.95

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.6

No position

Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Up position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.2

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Down position

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

No 40% 10 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

No 48% 10 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 80% 20 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?

Yes 6.9% 9 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 87% 20 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?

No 87% 20 shares
Will Darren Jones be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3% 20 shares
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?

No 25% 20 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,700 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 90% 158.06 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 31% 158.06 shares