Polymarket Trader

Argus404

0xb54677e2fdbdd95103df421af6bc00213f98c186

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.21
Realized PnL: $0.85
Win rate: 36.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.5
Potential profit: $157.5
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.5
Potential profit: $117.5
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $38.92
Potential profit: $28.22
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $37.91
Potential profit: $31.46
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $20.33
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $21.77
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $19.7
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $16.88
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $14.38
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $6.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.34
Potential profit: $28.34
User PnL: -$13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.17
Potential profit: $24.17
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.53
Potential profit: $5.53
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$5.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 25.7% 38.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Yes 9.7% 48.06 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 27?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 26?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Yes 20.8% 48.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?

Yes 26.4% 37.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 40% 72.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 41.4% 24.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Up 27% 33.33 shares