No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $9.91K
- Potential payout
- $22.53K
- Potential profit
- $12.62K
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Polymarket Trader
kwerty
0xb55974a02f7be68b9dfa941cbdbe7ae4f9415e7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.66K
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $993.54
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $13.84K
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$231.35
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $6.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $846.63
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $476.07
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $975.96
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $583.82
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $534.33
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$15.66
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $99.51
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $25.88
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $37.64
- Potential payout
- $818.32
- Potential profit
- $780.68
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$11.77
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $785.62
- Potential profit
- $785.62
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $353.72
- Potential payout
- $744.67
- Potential profit
- $390.95
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $153
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $447
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $72.37
- Potential payout
- $598.07
- Potential profit
- $525.71
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $131.81
- Potential payout
- $505.99
- Potential profit
- $374.18
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$68.19
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $446.24
- Potential profit
- $445.57
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.33
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $372.23
- Potential profit
- $360.14
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Over position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $94.57
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $122.83
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $94.57
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $122.83
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.26
- Potential profit
- $194.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Over position
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.11
- Potential profit
- $163.11
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $102.78
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $103.01
- Potential profit
- $92.19
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$9.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.71
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.79
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.92
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $75.61
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.18
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.66
Yes position
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.92
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.83
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.69
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $19.83
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros 61% 81.97 shares
- Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No 48% 41.67 shares
- Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 10.6% 94.33 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 1,428.57 shares
- Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 3 Norway?Yes 10.5% 85.71 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 50% 238.09 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?Yes 2% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver 44% 227.27 shares