sinistre

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575.91
Potential profit: $575.91
User PnL: -$75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.89
Potential profit: $388.89
User PnL: -$60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301
Potential profit: $301
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.2
Potential profit: $294.2
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292.38
Potential profit: $292.38
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.01
Potential profit: $261.01
User PnL: -$60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.1
Potential profit: $249.1
User PnL: -$100

No position

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $40.93
Potential payout: $232.57
Potential profit: $191.64
Multiplier: 5.68x
User PnL: -$59.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.02
Potential profit: $220.02
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.54
Potential profit: $202.54
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.35
Potential profit: $199.35
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.49
Potential profit: $189.49
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.82
Potential profit: $149.82
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.73
Potential profit: $115.73
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.19

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.97

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.93

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.21

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET