No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Polymarket Trader
0xb565D05D40D9A8Ab5bb016121D463eABdC96d8bA-1779363324544
0xb565d05d40d9a8ab5bb016121d463eabdc96d8ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $23.65
- Realized PnL
- $78.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed match?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
No position
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will New Zealand win?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will IR Tanger vs. Wydad Athletic Club end in a draw?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05?No 23% 5 shares