Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $248.26
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- -$106.1
Polymarket Trader
brazilianthiel
0xb575d6fb918ed0dc4e533d073223e9a46638a6bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $248.26
- Realized PnL
- $55.6
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.97
- Potential profit
- $134.97
- User PnL
- -$45.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.85
- Potential profit
- $81.85
- User PnL
- -$12.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.31
- Potential profit
- $73.31
- User PnL
- -$28.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.81
- Potential profit
- $35.81
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $39.93
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- $10.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Multiplier
- 11.24x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 17.9% 303.85 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 17.6% 612.34 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 17% 416.27 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 16% 612.34 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 19.2% 416.27 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.1% 660.51 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 60% 120.17 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 36.1% 723.54 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 33.6% 134.97 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38.5% 117.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp 15.4% 81.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp 52% 12.48 shares