Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.27K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Polymarket Trader
95Wal-1yX28-Sal73
0xb58120a869601abf58606505e15817ea1d5db496
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.64K
- Realized PnL
- $41.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $37.51
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $636.85
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$438.17
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $108.84
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$391.16
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $663.92
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $577.05
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$357.59
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $228
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $971.99
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.1%
- Current value
- $595.74
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $505.44
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$103.53
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.9%
- Current value
- $846.33
- Potential payout
- $974.47
- Potential profit
- $128.14
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $46.33
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $474.68
- Potential payout
- $939.96
- Potential profit
- $465.28
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $124.3
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.03
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $930.47
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$142.97
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $35.42
- Potential payout
- $708.42
- Potential profit
- $673
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$410.92
Yes position
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $218.71
- Potential payout
- $624.89
- Potential profit
- $406.18
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$74.93
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $418.63
- Potential payout
- $593.81
- Potential profit
- $175.17
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$81.37
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$163
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $399.92
- Potential profit
- $398.52
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$118.48
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $34.57
- Potential payout
- $363.91
- Potential profit
- $329.34
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$165.43
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $300.68
- Potential profit
- $299.03
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$148.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $80.17
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $92.24
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$19.83
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $100.78
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $55.47
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50.56
- Potential profit
- $50.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.78
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.01
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $865.22
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.74
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.47
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $621.93
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.01
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 80% 100 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 16% 93.75 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 97.3% 37 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 5% 160 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 64.6% 309.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.8% 619.12 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.7% 247.83 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 112.36 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 61% 163.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 93% 107.52 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 19.8% 50.56 shares