Polymarket Trader

hot2

0xb582fb84bdcb291453a358241d1005ff2c4f889c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.09K
Realized PnL: $18.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $5.47K
Potential payout: $8.82K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $4.51K
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $57.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.5K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.16K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.36K

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$480

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$649.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.92
Potential profit: $999.92
User PnL: -$399.97

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $783.59
Potential profit: $783.59
User PnL: -$360.45

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $105.58
Potential payout: $182.03
Potential profit: $76.45
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $91.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.3
Potential profit: $133.3
User PnL: -$119.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$19.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $860

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.61

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.92

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: United States (-1.5)

United States 22% 745.18 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 39.9% 5,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 71.3% 208.42 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?

No 64% 615 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

No 64% 135 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?

No 62% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Down 74.6% 610.24 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?

No 76% 737.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Down 59.6% 171 shares