Polymarket Trader

PickyF

0xb5aa80fc3ebec3317e2a5586f36f85781465c200

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.93
Realized PnL: $1.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$34.06

No position

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 22, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $647
Potential profit: $647
User PnL: -$6.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $604.2
Potential profit: $604.2
User PnL: -$36.88

No position

Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.02
Potential profit: $525.02
User PnL: -$25.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$39.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.56
Potential profit: $493.56
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.67
Potential profit: $446.67
User PnL: -$53.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.12
Potential profit: $401.12
User PnL: -$25.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $397.04
Potential profit: $397.04
User PnL: -$32.06

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.66
Potential profit: $396.66
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $348.08
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$14.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.99
Potential profit: $339.99
User PnL: -$24.34

No position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $329.99
Potential profit: $329.99
User PnL: -$15.77

Yes position

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$40.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$10.18

No position

Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 22 - 28)

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $295
User PnL: -$9.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.76

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump make no endorsement or endorse someone other than Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, or Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.63

Yes position

Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

Yes position

Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 40 and 69 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.2

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.55

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

No position

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.09

No position

Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.78

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 4% 68.49 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 11.2% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 16% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 62% 60 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 61% 18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 40% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 23.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 6% 77.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Down 45% 11.11 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 40 shares