0xb5b1...7cf8

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.28
Potential payout: $99.39
Potential profit: $64.11
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $89.86
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.05

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $37.59
Potential payout: $88.45
Potential profit: $50.86
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.22

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $30.92
Potential payout: $37.03
Potential profit: $6.11
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $31.99
Potential profit: $28.95
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.9

Virtus.pro position

Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $13.37
Potential profit: $9.03
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.05

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $9.59
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.08

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $9.04
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $8.65
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $7.74
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $6.86
Potential profit: $4.67
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $5.7
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $5.54
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $1.94
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

No position

Will Londrina EC win on 2026-07-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.06

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET