Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Polymarket Trader
0xb5b1...a5ed
0xb5b1dedfe88ad21b652f7d31935d05f617f9a5ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $5.02
- Realized PnL
- $14.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $2.26
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?No 53% 2.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 6?Yes 1.2% 1.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 6?No 51% 2.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 6?No 54% 2.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 6?Yes 17.1% 0.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 6?Yes 17.1% 5.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 6?Yes 15.8% 7.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 6?No 99.5% 1.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 6?Yes 40% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 6?Yes 69% 2.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?No 85% 1.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?No 73% 1.64 shares