Polymarket Trader

saosin

0xb5be8d9aeae70bfa3ed900c43a5c5f9b897d7286

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $485
Realized PnL: $2.08K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$93.25

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.89K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $370
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$30.7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$64

Phillies position

Angels vs. Phillies

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $349
User PnL: -$223.36

T1 position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301
Potential profit: $301
User PnL: -$165.55

Pirates position

White Sox vs. Pirates

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $299
User PnL: -$179.4

Texans position

Texans vs. Vikings

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$102.3

Astros position

Astros vs. Yankees

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $188
User PnL: -$99.64

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$14.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.96

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $223.29

No position

Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

Cubs position

Red Sox vs. Cubs

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.33

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.1

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.97

No position

Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.49

Cubs position

Cubs vs. Marlins

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.2

Up position

Solana Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46

No position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$59.4

No position

Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.69

No position

Will Brighton win on 2025-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64

No position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$86.4

No position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$106

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$116

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 55% 65 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 55% 236 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 0.2% 1,315.24 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 212.94 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 53% 27 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 34% 5 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Yes 1.3% 1,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Yes 0.5% 299.71 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares