Messiah123

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.84K
Potential profit: $15.84K
User PnL: -$64.1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$103.83

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810.13
Potential profit: $810.13
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $803.57
Potential profit: $803.57
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $701.67
Potential profit: $697.81
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.96
Potential profit: $517.96
User PnL: -$295.24

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $79.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $420.25
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $29.75

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.15
Potential profit: $346.15
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.72
Potential profit: $285.72
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.86
Potential profit: $246.86
User PnL: -$49.37

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.85
Potential profit: $115.85
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.82
Potential profit: $105.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.81

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.91

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.73

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.06

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET