Rami.666

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.67
Potential profit: $766.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $24.83
Potential payout: $701.4
Potential profit: $676.57
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $401.52
Potential profit: $400.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $9.65
Potential payout: $393.94
Potential profit: $384.29
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $148.18
Potential payout: $393.57
Potential profit: $245.39
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $168.27
Potential payout: $346.95
Potential profit: $178.68
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $14.2
Potential payout: $302.13
Potential profit: $287.93
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $163.34
Potential profit: $163.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $143.36
Potential profit: $141.56
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $118.26
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $83.45
Potential profit: $82.28
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.79
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.38
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.42
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $24.01
Potential payout: $32.67
Potential profit: $8.66
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.55
Potential profit: $28.55
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $28.36
Potential profit: $24.39
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $94.54

No position

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.39

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.35

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET