No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Current value
- $184.41
- Potential payout
- $276.06
- Potential profit
- $91.65
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Polymarket Trader
M.elena678
0xb5d8154da63b494431e87277940dbbf694e0af42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $832.93
- Realized PnL
- -$39.51
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $94.33
- Potential payout
- $130.11
- Potential profit
- $35.78
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $75.12
- Potential payout
- $129.52
- Potential profit
- $54.4
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $36.86
- Potential payout
- $84.73
- Potential profit
- $47.87
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $40.61
- Potential payout
- $67.12
- Potential profit
- $26.51
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $49.29
- Potential payout
- $67.07
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $21.36
- Potential payout
- $58.53
- Potential profit
- $37.17
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $25.01
- Potential payout
- $46.75
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $39.27
- Potential payout
- $44.37
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.6%
- Current value
- $26.82
- Potential payout
- $40.92
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $27.62
- Potential payout
- $36.34
- Potential profit
- $8.72
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $26.97
- Potential payout
- $35.72
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $26.57
- Potential payout
- $35.66
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $34.72
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $27.23
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $27.56
- Potential payout
- $31.49
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $22.75
- Potential payout
- $30.33
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $25.77
- Potential payout
- $29.45
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $26.4
- Potential payout
- $28.86
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $39.13
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.12
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.17
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.19
No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.66
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$12.06
Yes position
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.53
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.52x
- User PnL
- -$65.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 86.5% 34.53 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes 84% 32.61 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 90% 38.75 shares
- Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?No 92.3% 29.45 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 74.5% 41.26 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 91% 28.86 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 60% 40.38 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 31.49 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes 71.6% 38.64 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 34.72 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 31.1% 51.76 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 54.4% 51.76 shares