No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.52
- Potential payout
- $11.26
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Polymarket Trader
0xb5E1B01c57d80d7D36F54F831bEAe34c1b8D2cf4-1766387453777
0xb5e1b01c57d80d7d36f54f831beae34c1b8d2cf4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.52
- Realized PnL
- $814.1
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $801.76
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 72% 1,255.95 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99% 115.2 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.8% 115.38 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 93% 113.54 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 93% 113.54 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.7% 11.26 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 96.1% 128.68 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.6% 129.29 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.8% 129.29 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 98.7% 125.49 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 98.9% 125.49 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 96.9% 124.11 shares