Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $567.79
- Potential profit
- $540.25
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$60.83
Polymarket Trader
elithewhiteguy
0xb5e4def83a77ab2a171a2bc112638b6e78a39b0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $244.77
- Realized PnL
- $2.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.93
- Potential profit
- $273.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$30.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $27.99
- Potential payout
- $223.9
- Potential profit
- $195.92
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.21
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.2
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $116.61
- Potential profit
- $115.21
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $111.43
- Potential profit
- $111.37
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.54
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $100.2
- Potential profit
- $90.68
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $70.88
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$13.62
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $60.54
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.59
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$26.29
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $56.8
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $49.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $40.05
- Potential payout
- $40.11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $24.37
- Potential payout
- $26.49
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $16.2
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $15.18
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.49
No position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.83
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.97
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.27
N
No position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.27
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.8
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.45
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.85
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.71
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
No position
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?No 63% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80% 25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 71.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 79.7% 25.11 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 1.8% 273.93 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 98.2% 10 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 98% 135 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 63% 50 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 50 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 18% 13 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 27% 10 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 64% 16.2 shares