Polymarket Trader

Madwin

0xb5e83a636f2d77c0c25e2d2abaca753ea204a5f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.32
Realized PnL: $15.33
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

FURIA Esports position

LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.06
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $17.39
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.37
Potential profit: $17.37
User PnL: -$4.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.55
Potential profit: $12.55
User PnL: -$7.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.14
Potential profit: $11.14
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.72
Potential profit: $9.72
User PnL: -$4.86

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.66
Potential profit: $4.66
User PnL: -$2.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 53% 4.66 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 22% 22.73 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

No 99.8% 32.67 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

No 77% 13.75 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 61% 9.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Down 51% 9.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Down 41% 9.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Down 13% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Down 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Down 68% 6.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 43% 4.42 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 15.62 shares