No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.07K
- Potential profit
- $19.07K
- User PnL
- -$149.99
Polymarket Trader
Omiohmy
0xb5ebc1adefb31fb18ec0f6807d4150f8fdbe8015
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.99
- Realized PnL
- $165.88
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$196.63
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $53.35
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $994.83
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$61.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.7
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.82
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.55
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.8
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$49.21
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.8
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$144.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$419.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$840.09
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$869.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 11% 153.09 shares
- Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes 7.6% 1,046.67 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 11% 895.09 shares
- Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes 9.4% 852.83 shares
- Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes 3.5% 301.72 shares
- Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes 0.9% 292.4 shares
- Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes 3.6% 823.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes 17.2% 1,333.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes 6.3% 1,333.57 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 35.8% 1,070.03 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 42.1% 877.21 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 26.3% 1,407.89 shares