Polymarket Trader

PedroDourado

0xb5fa3a683d626015b8a9fd77ce5e15cac38ba1dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $438.3
Realized PnL: $1.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $314
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $109.13
Potential payout: $287.18
Potential profit: $178.05
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $8.14

Fluxo position

Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.11
Potential profit: $223.11
User PnL: -$34.49

Yes position

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $15.17
Potential payout: $178.48
Potential profit: $163.31
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.83

Yes position

Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.32
Potential profit: $151.32
User PnL: -$50

Rare Atom position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom (BO3)

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.02
Potential profit: $140.02
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.33
Potential profit: $108.33
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.9
Potential profit: $86.9
User PnL: -$40

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.5
Potential profit: $72.5
User PnL: -$20

Fluxo position

Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$15

NIP position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$25

M80 position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO1)

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

The Huns Esports position

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Fluxo position

Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.57
Potential profit: $43.57
User PnL: -$6

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $42.37
User PnL: -$25

Fluxo position

Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo (BO3)

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$15

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.85
User PnL: -$15

NIP position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.87

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $125.07

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.41

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.49

The Huns Esports position

Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3)

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.51

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.15

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.87

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.52

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.63

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.75

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.7

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.74

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.29

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.59

Yes position

Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.29

Yes position

Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.29

Yes position

Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.42

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.79

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.75

No position

Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.83

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7

Yes position

Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.84

Yes position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 20.2% 381.67 shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 26.9% 286.03 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 20.4% 338.65 shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.5% 30 shares
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19.2% 119.38 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 18.3% 983.59 shares
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Yes 43.1% 485.09 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 21.5% 93.07 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 58% 50 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 20.5% 429.33 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 58% 152 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55% 10.73 shares