Polymarket Trader

adenakoz1

0xb615db2a571fccbe4616da82fb05c47c60c173cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.59K
Realized PnL: $973.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $958.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $41.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $122.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $765
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $235
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $35

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $859.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $140
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $180

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $454.93
Potential payout: $999.84
Potential profit: $544.91
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $36.75

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $854.55
Potential payout: $860.14
Potential profit: $5.59
User PnL: $15.13

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$279.99

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $392.42
Potential payout: $499.9
Potential profit: $107.48
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $23.81

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $95.87
Potential payout: $299.59
Potential profit: $203.72
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $3.34

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $110.93
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $42.08
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $14.72
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $94.29
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$59

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80.42

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$56

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$83

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$81.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$4.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $605

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.61

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.43

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.61

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.44

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

No 71% 271.9 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 79% 80 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 14% 87 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 79% 20 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 14% 22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 73% 1,000 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 40% 372.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 98.8% 100 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

No 99.3% 100 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

No 96% 100 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 11% 100 shares