No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $169.74
- Potential payout
- $173.47
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Polymarket Trader
nvnhgjg
0xb616552b55b2a4b954b66080b820d1f1a00c57d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $400.77
- Realized PnL
- $102.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $131.13
- Potential payout
- $133.67
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $99.9
- Potential payout
- $101.62
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Under position
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on September 3?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 98.4% 101.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 83.6% 95.69 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No 98% 173.47 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 98% 133.67 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 98.9% 161.78 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 223.01 shares
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under 99% 151.52 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?No 99.3% 201.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.5% 186.53 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 95.4% 209.64 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No 99% 213.13 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?No 99.6% 150.6 shares