Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $874.7
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $13.12K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.13
Polymarket Trader
WilliamZ.
0xb61b2dd3713ed8ecf3d5e9ab8af65400b69e1c8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3K
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$168.09
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $53.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $196.25
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.9
No position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$229.1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 30 shares
- Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?No 94.2% 14.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 69% 100 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 5% 97.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 81% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 81% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 81% 110 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 82% 100 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 91.5% 200 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No 90% 70 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?Yes 95% 99.8 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 82% 1,548.93 shares