No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $58.86
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $19.35
Polymarket Trader
dfikmb
0xb626d30e11c469f0b81bcd6d3d0b968db1dcee8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.79
- Realized PnL
- $79.94
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $20.36
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.3
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.37x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 93.2% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.9% 46 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 97.8% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 27.4% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.5% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.6% 18 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 79% 7 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 84% 18 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 16% 21 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 6.6% 19 shares